PolymarketGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: 20-40 (100%)
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Huidige impliciete kans20-40 100%+2.1%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
72 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 7,4K
Liquiditeit
€ 0
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Strakke spread7d wijziging
+16.4%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 dagen geleden
Verouderd1 jun 26, 0:2730 jun 26, 16:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
10-200%
20-40100%
40-601%
60+0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· 20-40
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketBeste algemeen82% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Gemiddeld | 100% | — | € 30,5K | € 205,8K | 13 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| PolymarketDeze pagina | Gemiddeld | 100% | — | € 7,4K | € 0 | 17 dagen geleden | |
 Manifold Markets82% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | — | 100% | — | — | — | 15 dagen geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Gesloten
Afgerond
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling17 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
4.0%5d
+18.1%100%
+4.0%13%
+3.1%8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
73 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitBrede spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling
Totaal volume€ 1,2 mln.
24u volume€ 30,5K
POLYMARKETRegels
This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205eergisteren
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205eergisteren$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 dgn geleden$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 dgn geleden$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 dgn geleden$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 dgn geleden$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 dgn geleden$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 dgn geleden$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$8.4k2 jul7d aan data8 jul
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This market will resolve according to the finalized 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz that IMF Portwatch reports for June 30, 2026.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data has been finalized.