PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansJa 16%+0.0%
Marktkwaliteit
89 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 528,3K
Liquiditeit
€ 325,9K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.7%
Gematigde spread7d wijziging
+6.0%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 minuten geleden
2 jul 26, 21:4931 aug 26, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes16%
Platforms vergelijken· No
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Hoog | 85% | — | € 528,3K | € 325,9K | 18 minuten geleden | |
 Manifold Markets85% overeenkomst · auto | — | 94% | — | — | — | 18 minuten geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of August 31?
1mnd
93.8%
6.2%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling21 voorspellersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
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POLYMARKETNoskibabiba12 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$601.0k3 jul24d aan data26 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.