Manifold MarketsGeslotenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: 40+ (100%)
Afgewikkeld: 10 jul 2026, 00:20
Niet-geverifieerde afwikkelingsdata
Deze uitkomst is afgeleid of wordt niet ondersteund door provider-grade afwikkelingsbewijs.
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling40+ 100%Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 dagen geleden
Verouderd25 jun 26, 5:2910 jul 26, 0:20
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
40+100%
60+0%
80+0%
100%
0%
0%
Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.
Platforms vergelijken· 40+
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBeste algemeen85% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Hoog | 108% | — | € 30,8K | € 205,1K | 12 minuten geleden | Openen → |
| Polymarket82% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | Gemiddeld | 100% | — | € 7,4K | € 0 | 17 dagen geleden | Openen → |
| Manifold MarketsDeze pagina | — | 100% | — | — | — | 15 dagen geleden |
Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
3.5%5d
+18.1%100%
+3.5%13%
+2.9%8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
89 • Hoge kwaliteitGematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling
Totaal volume€ 1,2 mln.
24u volume€ 30,8K
POLYMARKETOok beschikbaar op Polymarket
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Gesloten
Afgerond
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
72 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitStrakke spreadLage liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 631,8K
24u volume€ 7,4K
POLYMARKETRegels
This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205eergisteren
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205eergisteren$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 dgn geleden$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 dgn geleden$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 dgn geleden$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 dgn geleden$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 dgn geleden$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 dgn geleden$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 dgn geleden
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This market will resolve identically to this one, on Polymarket:
- Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30?
- Polymarket rules: This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and June 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.