Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?
3.5% (24u)US PoliticsOne-OffMiddle East5d
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans40+ 100%+18.1%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
89 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 30,8K
Liquiditeit
€ 205,1K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
12.1% / 13.0%
Spread
7.4%
Gematigde spread7d wijziging
-0.8%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 18 minuten geleden
26 jun 26, 21:0131 jul 26, 23:59
Trends
100%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
30+13%
Platforms vergelijken· 40+
Gerangschikt op marktkwaliteit, dan liquiditeit en 24-uursvolume| Platform | Kwaliteit | Kans | vs. referentie | Volume 24u | Liquiditeit | Actualiteit | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketDeze paginaBeste algemeen | Hoog | 100% | — | € 30,8K | € 205,1K | 18 minuten geleden | |
| Polymarket82% overeenkomst · gekoppeld | Gemiddeld | 100% | — | € 7,4K | € 0 | 17 dagen geleden | Openen → |
 Manifold Markets85% overeenkomst · geverifieerd | — | 100% | — | — | — | 15 dagen geleden | Openen → |
Ook beschikbaar op Manifold Markets
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30? [Polymarket]
Gesloten
Afgerond
40+ (100%)
100%
0%
0%
Gemeenschapsvoorspelling17 voorspellersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSOok beschikbaar op Polymarket
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of June?
2.1%Gesloten
Afgerond
20-40 (100%)
+2.1%100%
0%
-0.3%0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
72 • Gemiddelde kwaliteitStrakke spreadLage liquiditeit
Totaal volume€ 631,8K
24u volume€ 7,4K
POLYMARKETRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.
Vergelijkingsgegevens zijn alleen informatief. Prijzen en liquiditeit kunnen variëren.
Grote trades
$5.4k96.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205eergisteren
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo1205eergisteren$1.4k98.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly7 dgn geleden$2.6k51.8%POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoValid-Profit12 dgn geleden$8.6k85.0%POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoMoonLambo120518 dgn geleden$3.5k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — YesDoomsday7719 dgn geleden$2.7k99.9%POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — Yes0xd677…a49519 dgn geleden$3.9k88.5%POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETWill 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? — NoArmageddonRewardsBilly21 dgn geleden$1.4k95.6%POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 dgn geleden
POLYMARKETNoJasonPunos25 dgn geledenVolumetrend
$35.1k2 jul25d aan data26 jul
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and July 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.