PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
June 30, 2027 12%
Marktkwaliteit
73 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 15K
Liquiditeit
€ 28,9K
Hoge liquiditeitBied / Laat
3.5% / 4.0%
Spread
0.5 pt
Strakke spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
19 sep 26, 00:27 UTC1 jul 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Confirmation that the pathogen escaped the laboratory, research facility, diagnostic facility, or other controlled laboratory setting in which it was contained is required.
- Investigations, speculation, statements that an escape is possible or has not been ruled out, or statements unverified by a consensus of credible reporting will not suffice.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-8.5pt77%
- December 15,-22.5pt60%
- November 30,-27.0pt51%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 3,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 199,2K
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt90%
- Before Mar 1, 202786%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt86%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,9 mln.
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt68.3%
- ChatGPT+1.5pt14.4%
- Gemini+1.9pt9.6%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10 mln.
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 23.6%+8.0pt99%
- Above 21.7%99%
- Above 22.7%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 153,1K
- 24u volume
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.5%+9.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 5.6%+45.0pt91%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 171K
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 199,4K
- 24u volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Anthropic lab leak by which date??
- Polymarket prijst June 30, 2027 op 12% per 19 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Anthropic lab leak by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date? wordt naar verwachting op 1 juli 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Anthropic lab leak by which date? afgewikkeld?
- Polymarket wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market will resolve to “Yes” if a pathogen developed, modified, or handled at a wet lab operated by Anthropic is confirmed to have escaped that facility between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.