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Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? 39%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
39
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd25 dec 23, 14:25 UTC2 jan 40, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.5%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
By when will the Covid lab leak market resolve?
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PolymarketWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
KalshiRegels
https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory
- This market is to determine what bias, if any, exists in that market, and when it's likely to resolve.
Open markten
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.3pt97%
- Yes+0.3pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 15,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 35,6K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.9pt3%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+4.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Totaal volume
- € 83,5K
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000-1.0pt96%
- Above 6000-4.0pt58%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 864,2K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+0.5pt94%
- Yes-0.5pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 915,8K
- 24u volume
- € 1,5K
KALSHIWhen will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Before July 2027+67.0pt97%
- Before 202872%
- Before October 202752%
- Totaal volume
- € 4,2K
- 24u volume
- Will 3 mg THC beverages be federally legal to sell?
- Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- FDA decision: Bepirovirsen by GlaxoSmithKline (in 2026)
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
- Ebola pandemic in 2026?
- FDA decision: Saroglitazar by Zydus Therapeutics (in 2026)
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
- Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the Covid lab leak market resolve??
- Manifold Markets prijst Conditional on resolving YES, will it resolve by the end of 2040? op 39% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? afgewikkeld?
- When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? wordt naar verwachting op 2 januari 2040 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the Covid lab leak market resolve? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/did-covid19-come-from-a-laboratory