Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 36 minuten geleden
4 jun 26, 16:46 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will US unemployment exceed 4.5% at any point in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US unemployment get above 6% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill US unemployment rate rise more than North Carolina unemployment rate in September?
Manifold MarketsWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports a seasonally adjusted monthly civilian unemployment rate (U-3) of 5.1% or higher for any month in the calendar year 2026.
- If no monthly rate in 2026 reaches 5.1% or higher, the market resolves to NO.
- Primary Source: The monthly BLS Employment Situation Summary.
- The historical series can also be tracked via FRED (UNRATE).
- Scope: Covers the 12 reference months of 2026 (January 2026 through December 2026).
