Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 82.5%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd7 mrt 26, 17:21 UTC31 dec 49, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the UK’s GDP per capita exceed the US’ at any time before 2040?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will there be a visible break in trend line on US GDP, GDP per capita, unemployment, or productivity, which most economists attribute directly to the effects of AI?
Manifold MarketsWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?
Manifold MarketsUS GDP growth in Q4 2026?
PolymarketRecession in 2027?
KalshiRegels
As of 2025, US nominal GDP per capita is ~$89,600 vs. ~$58,000 for Western Europe, a ratio of roughly 1.55x.
- This question resolves YES if that ratio exceeds 10.0 at anytime before 2050.
- Western Europe defined as: Germany, France, Netherlands, Belgium, Austria, Switzerland, Luxembourg (UN Geoscheme) GDP per capita in nominal USD