Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85%
Voorspellers
44
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 33 minuten geleden
9 jun 23, 17:07 UTC31 dec 30, 21:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsControl over Crimea in 2035
Manifold MarketsRussia to control Crimea through the end of 2026?
FutuurU.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegels
Resolutiecriteria zijn nog niet beschikbaar voor deze markt. Deze sectie wordt na komende verversingen gevuld zodra de bronregels zijn opgeslagen.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 22,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 470,8K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 35,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 100,1K
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 85% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will Ukraine have full control over Crimea by the end of 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2030 afgewikkeld.