Will there be scientific consensus of the existence of silicon based forms of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2060?
One-OffWetenschapSpaceManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88.3%
Voorspellers
13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd2 apr 24, 18:08 UTC1 jan 61, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?
Manifold MarketsIn 2030, will Wikipedia's article on Race and Intelligence still falsely claim the existence of a scientific consensus for 0% genetic causation?
Manifold MarketsHow will scientific consensus in 2050 apportion the causes of increased life expectancy from 1000AD to 2000AD in Europe?
Manifold MarketsWill Massachusetts scientific R&D jobs rise YoY?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegels
Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothetical_types_of_biochemistry
- The element silicon has been much discussed as a hypothetical alternative to carbon.
- Silicon is in the same group as carbon on the periodic table and, like carbon, it is tetravalent.
- Hypothetical alternatives to water include ammonia, which, like water, is a polar molecule, and cosmically abundant; and non-polar hydrocarbon solvents such as methane and ethane, which are known to exist in liquid form on the surface of Titan.
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211K
- 24u volume
- € 110,5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be scientific consensus of the existence of silicon based forms of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2060??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 88% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be scientific consensus of the existence of silicon based forms of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2060? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be scientific consensus of the existence of silicon based forms of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2060? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2061 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be scientific consensus of the existence of silicon based forms of extraterrestrial life by the end of 2060? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Link: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hypothetical_types_of_biochemistry