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Verouderd19 apr 26, 22:31 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
xkcd has a reputation of providing lots of commentary about contemporary tech issues.
- However, it has been notably silent about recent AI!
- Isn’t this kind of weird? Has anyone else noticed this?
- This market is about whether it continues.
- I will resolve based on whether the Artificial Intelligence category of explainxkcd contains any comics from 2026 at end of 2026.
- This assumes that it has not been manipulated; if I suspect its information is wrong I will make the judgement myself.
Open markten
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 241,3K
- 24u volume
- € 128K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 349,4K
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 73% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will there be an xkcd about AI in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: xkcd has a reputation of providing lots of commentary about contemporary tech issues.