Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 54.8%
Voorspellers
2
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd26 mei 26, 00:32 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will "Why we are excited about confession!" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
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KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves according to pew polling: https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2026/03/12/key-findings-about-how-americans-view-artificial-intelligence/
- If > 75% are more concerned than excited at any point before 2030 this resolves yes