Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
AIOne-Off1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 77.2%
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Verouderd17 aug 26, 13:38 UTC1 feb 28, 00:00 UTC
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KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegels
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post How My Students Think About AI is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Open markten
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
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- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 132,8K
- 24u volume
- € 100,3K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 9,1 mln.
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
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- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 322,4K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 77% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?
- Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will "How My Students Think About AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.