Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
InflatieOne-OffBedrijfsactiesBedrijfslevenTechAI4jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 56.8%
Voorspellers
227
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd2 feb 24, 14:06 UTC2 jan 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be a unicorn with no human employees by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill my startup RESMP.DEV become a unicorn, over 1 billion USD market cap, before the the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets"Will Orion (AI EdTech Startup) reach a $1B 'Unicorn' valuation by end of December 31, 2028?"
Manifold MarketsWill Lionsgate buy A24 just like how Paramount would buy Warner Bros?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)
Manifold MarketsMore valuable company in 2040?
Manifold MarketsRegels
To prevent private market shenanigans it will have to be 2 $1bn+ valuation rounds in series, or an acquisition, IPO or direct listing at $1bn+.
- For public markets valuations I will take the valuation at the close of the trading day.
- EDIT - 2025/08/28
- The $1bn amount will be adjusted for inflation using CPI index for year end 2023 as the base year.
- My discretion will be used to adjudicate how contractor use applies to the “one person” criteria.
- I will not bet in this market.
