Will the world population be 7 billion or less at any point before 2035?
GeopolitiekOne-OffSamenleving en cultuur8jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 87.4%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd11 sep 26, 08:13 UTC31 dec 34, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the estimated global human population is officially reported to be 7,000,000,000 (7 billion) or less at any point between the market's creation and December 31, 2034, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- The primary sources of truth for this market are:
- The United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UN DESA) Population Division, specifically via the World Population Prospects database or its official revision reports.
- The U.S. Census Bureau, specifically via the U.S. and World Population Clock or the International Database (IDB).
- Any serious sources or any world event that makes this possible.
