Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 88.2%
Voorspellers
130
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd8 apr 23, 03:06 UTC2 jan 30, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
There needs to be direct armed conflict, so stuff like cold war or proxy wars in general don't count.
- US providing weapons to Ukraine (or any other country) but not operating them through its military also doesn't count.
- In case of doubt, I'll ask random people within my social circle (not Russians, Americans and not Manifold users) whether the US is at war with Russia.
