Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
GeopolitiekOne-OffRusland / Oekraïne
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 55.4%
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47
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
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Bijgewerkt 44 minuten geleden
6 mei 23, 12:14 UTC31 dec 50, 19:59 UTC
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FutuurRegels
The Russian civil war of 1917-1923 doesn't count.
- I only mean a war that started later that the creation of the market (6 May 2023).
- Update (25 Jan 2024): after discussion with @PS, I decided that if an edge case arises, I will check Wikipedia and Western media and see if they consistently describe the conflict in question as a civil war.
- Also, if in doubt, I may or may not temporarily freeze the market and consult the traders, and/or resolve N/A.