Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 11 jun 2026, 17:25 UTC · beleid pm-quality-2
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingy ≥ 2.0% 100%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 44 dagen geleden
Verouderd20 nov 25, 18:291 feb 27, 23:59
Trends
100%
100%
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
y ≥ 4.5%57%
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Fed Decision in July?
€ 1,7 mln.No change: 80%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
€ 50,5KJa: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
€ 9,3KAbove 3.4%: 29%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike by which date?
€ 7,6KOctober Meeting: 69%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
CPI in July
€ 4,3KAbove -0.1%: 86%KALSHI
KALSHI![Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]](https://storage.googleapis.com/mantic-markets.appspot.com/contract-images/zzq/ajwghjn2s9.jpg)
Are Republicans or Democrats better for the economy? [Annual GDP growth by presidential party]
€ 3,4KRepublican president, <2%: 23.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActief in deze onderwerpen
Gerelateerd Nieuws
CPI Data Still Moves Bitcoin and Altcoins as Forex Brokers Spotlight Macro Cross-CurrentsBlockchain Reporter
Polymarket sees 84% odds of zero Fed cuts in 2026 after risk-off swingBlockchain.News
Bitcoin slides below $65K as Iran conflict fuels $100 oil and bond-yield surgeCointelegraph
Peter Schiff warns $100 oil could unleash a July inflation shockCrypto News
Polymarket puts Sept Fed hike at 50.5% on $4M volume amid oil, yieldsBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds favor 0 Fed cuts in 2026 at 84.65% on $44.6M volumeBlockchain.NewsRegels
Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.
- If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
- Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
- Please adjust your prices accordingly.
- Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
- If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.