Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 77%
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11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd7 apr 26, 06:36 UTC31 dec 99, 07:28 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiUS annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026?
FutuurRegels
Resolves YES if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 4% or higher.
- Resolves NO if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 2% or lower.
- The yearly inflation rate refers to the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate as announced on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
- https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
- This market will resolve as soon either the 2% or 4% threshold is crossed per an official announcement.
- I will not wait for corrections which could possibly invalidate the resolution and will not change the resolution should that happen.
Open markten
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 541,2K
- 24u volume
- € 30,7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 334,2K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 extra uitkomsten
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 77,9K
- 24u volume
- € 5,5K
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 77% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? afgewikkeld?
- Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2999 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 4% or higher.