Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 75.4%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd6 jun 26, 04:00 UTC11 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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KalshiRegels
Exactly 80 seconds, no more, no less.
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 20275%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 29,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 93,2K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.3pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 1+1.5pt75%
- 2+0.5pt24%
- 3-0.2pt1%
+3 extra uitkomsten
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- No-8.4pt88%
- Yes+8.4pt12%
- Totaal volume
- € 27,5K
- 24u volume
- € 3,2K
KALSHIHow many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- Above 8k+9.0pt97%
- Above 7k89%
- Above 9k81%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 13,9K
- 24u volume
KALSHIWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
- Before 204064%
- Before 2035-5.1pt48%
- Before 203033%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 37,2K
- 24u volume
- € 813,2
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 75% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 11 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Doomsday Clock reach 80 seconds to midnight in 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Exactly 80 seconds, no more, no less.