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Verouderd21 jun 23, 18:58 UTC1 jan 35, 07:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Russia surpass Japan in GDP per capita (PPP) by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland surpass the UK in GDP per capita by PPP prior to 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill China's GDP per capita surpass Japan's by the end of 2035?
Manifold MarketsChina’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiChina Annual GDP Growth 2026
PolymarketChina unemployment rate in August
KalshiRegels
Source is IMF. 2023 values are 73.34k for Taiwan and 80.03 for USA.
- Resolves N/A if China invades Taiwan:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/O/will-china-invade-taiwan-by-2035) I think this is very likely based on the indicators of economic freedom and IQ, the rate of recent development, and the AI-induced boom in semiconductors.
Open markten
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 89,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,7 mln.
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 541,2K
- 24u volume
- € 30,7K
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 334,2K
- 24u volume
- € 12,8K
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 10,7K
- 24u volume
- € 10,7K
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Totaal volume
- € 612,5K
- 24u volume
- € 6,9K
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,3K
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 81% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China? afgewikkeld?
- Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2035 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Taiwan surpass the USA in GDP (PPP) per capita before 2035 if it isn't invaded by China? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Source is IMF. 2023 values are 73.34k for Taiwan and 80.03 for USA.