Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 97.5%
Voorspellers
31
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd10 jan 24, 08:38 UTC1 jan 01, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will a Human or AI model solve the Riemann hypothesis by 2028?
Manifold MarketsFurther substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the first valid proofs of the Collatz Conjecture and the Riemann Hypothesis occur within 12 months of one another?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if the first person to prove that the Reimann hypothesis is true, false, or independent of ZFC posts their proof in the following market to get the bounty:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ElijahBodden3c33/250-mana-for-the-first-viable-proof?r=UGxhc21hQmFsbGlu)If multiple people are involved in the final proof (or disproof etc.) of the Riemann hypothesis, only one of them needs to claim the bounty.
- Resolves NO if the bounty is canceled, the bounty is claimed by someone else (e.g., someone who didn't write the proof posts it in the comments and gets the bounty), or the bounty is still unclaimed after the Riemann hypothesis has been solved for at least a year.
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211K
- 24u volume
- € 110,5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 98% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold? afgewikkeld?
- Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2101 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will someone solve the Riemann hypothesis to get a few mana on Manifold? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if the first person to prove that the Reimann hypothesis is true, false, or independent of ZFC posts their proof in the following market to get the bounty: