Will Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027?
One-OffWetenschapSociety & Culture1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 67%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd16 jun 26, 17:20 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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I am genuinely interested by the position that Prediction Markets take on strong theory (and related physics).
- I can look at the markets, which I would NOT bet on, and get a fairly genuine idea of "mainstream opinion", because when money is on the line people suddenly get a lot more timid about their opinions.
- So yes, any mention of PMs about string theory or Beyond Standard Model (BSM) physics by Sabine before Dec 31st 2027, in one of her videos, and this resolves to yes.
- I don't watch them all, so if there's a passing reference please someone post it in the comments.
- It has to be specifically a prediction markets - general scientific bets such as the Hawking-Thorne bet don't count.
- Either a mention or a full video, about eg Academic Prestige Futures Prediction Markets, would both count.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 67% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Sabine Hossenfelder mention any prediction markets on string theory or BSM physics before the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: I am genuinely interested by the position that Prediction Markets take on strong theory (and related physics).