Will pro-Russian armed groups take control of a government building in any Baltic city or town by November 30, 2026?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGeopolitiekEurope2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.9%
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7
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Bijgewerkt 7 uur geleden
Verouderd27 aug 26, 06:15 UTC30 nov 26, 22:00 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
This market resolves YES if, at any time between market creation and the end of November 30, 2026 (EET, UTC+2), an organized pro-Russian armed group establishes de facto physical control over at least one government administration building in any city or town in Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania.
- It resolves NO otherwise.
- Qualifying buildings: Buildings used by a civilian national, regional, or municipal administration, such as a city/town hall or government administrative offices.
- Private offices, military facilities, and monuments do not count on their own.
- Physical control: The group must physically occupy the building and control access to it, excluding the lawful authorities from its normal use.
- A demonstration outside, flag-raising, threats, or an unsuccessful incursion does not count.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will pro-Russian armed groups take control of a government building in any Baltic city or town by November 30, 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 86% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will pro-Russian armed groups take control of a government building in any Baltic city or town by November 30, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will pro-Russian armed groups take control of a government building in any Baltic city or town by November 30, 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 30 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will pro-Russian armed groups take control of a government building in any Baltic city or town by November 30, 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if, at any time between market creation and the end of November 30, 2026 (EET, UTC+2), an organized pro-Russian armed group establishes de facto physical control over at least one government administration building in any city or town in Estonia, Latvia, or Lithuania.