Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 85.3%
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54
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd23 apr 24, 11:55 UTC29 dec 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Iran use Nuclear weapons?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade another country in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
Both nuclear sharing and own developement count as YES.
Open markten
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75%
- New People (NL)+4.3pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt1%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 31,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 3,7 mln.
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 58,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 302,1K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt56.6%
- October 31-1.0pt31.1%
- September 30-2.0pt10.4%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-1.0pt10%
- September 30-1.2pt2%
+9 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 2094%
- September 25+4.5pt87%
- September 30-1.0pt74%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-4.3pt88%
- USA+5.7pt10%
- Qatar-0.5pt1%
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 85% per 18 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 29 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Both nuclear sharing and own developement count as YES.