Will New Zealand's National-led Coalition Government Be Limited to a Single Term?
InflatieOne-OffPolitiekVerkiezing1mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 53.7%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd25 feb 25, 03:54 UTC30 nov 26, 10:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
This market would predict whether the National Party-led coalition government in New Zealand (formed after the 2023 election with ACT and New Zealand First) will lose power at the next general election, expected in late 2026.
- Market Resolution Criteria
- YES: The National Party and its coalition partners lose their parliamentary majority in the next general election, and a different party/coalition forms government.
- NO: The National Party and at least some of its coalition partners retain power after the next general election.
- Key Forecasting Factors
- Government Performance
