Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 92.2%
Voorspellers
17
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd31 mrt 26, 14:50 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Joe Biden die before the 2028 presidential election (Nov. 7 2028)?
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PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Joe Biden dies at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Biden survives through December 31, 2026.
- As of January 4, 2026, Joe Biden is 83 years old, having been born on November 20, 1942.
- Biden left the Oval Office on January 20, 2025.
Open markten
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- € 183,7 mln.
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Joe Biden die this year??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 92% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Joe Biden die this year? afgewikkeld?
- Will Joe Biden die this year? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Joe Biden die this year? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria