Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling2027-2029 60.6%Koploper van 7 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
412
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
-1.7 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd15 okt 23, 12:32 UTC11 nov 30, 22:00 UTC
Trends
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die this year?
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KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegels
Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office.
- If he is elected to a second term, he would start it at 82.
- There have been a number of rumors and specualtions about his health, with many conservative pundits claiming he is suffering from dementia.
- On the other hand, routine medical check-ups describe him as "vigorous":
- https://apnews.com/article/biden-politics-united-states-government-health-bdce6c15df6186e06710f2d903a3513e
- [link preview]
Open markten
US PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 592,5K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 220,4K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 214,6K
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will Joe Biden die??
- Manifold Markets prijst 2027-2029 op 61% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will Joe Biden die? afgewikkeld?
- When will Joe Biden die? wordt naar verwachting op 11 november 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will Joe Biden die? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Joe Biden was born in 1942, making him the oldest president to ever take office.