Will Joe Biden die of prostate cancer by EOY 2027?
Amerikaanse politiekOne-OffGezondheid en geneeskunde1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 80.1%
Voorspellers
36
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd18 mei 25, 21:34 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Will he die, specifically because of prostate cancer, by the end of 2027? If he dies of a combination of factors including prostate cancer, resolves YES.
- Update 2025-05-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If prostate cancer is a major contributing factor to death, the market resolves YES.
- This includes cases where prostate cancer or its treatment causes increased susceptibility to another condition that is the immediate cause of death.
