Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 74.9%
Voorspellers
200
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd3 feb 23, 02:46 UTC1 jan 40, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
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KalshiWill Donald Trump attend UFC 331?
KalshiDonald Trump announces departure as President? (Excluding death)
KalshiRegels
Resolves once one of them dies.
Open markten
US PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 592,5K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.6pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+4.0pt99%
- $25M+3.5pt96%
- $50M+4.5pt91%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt49.1%
- October 31-1.0pt29.3%
- September 30-2.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 220,4K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt84.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt15.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 24,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 214,6K
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- IA-01 House winner?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 75% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump? afgewikkeld?
- Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2040 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Joe Biden die before Donald Trump? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves once one of them dies.