Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 72.9%
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13
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
4 aug 26, 21:06 UTC15 sep 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
According to a rumor on Twitter Ilya's firm SSI is planning to finally release a product in August.
- They have previously stated that their plan is to release nothing until they have superintelligence.
- So, if they are true to their word this release should be pretty amazing right? I am skeptical, but would like to remain open to being surprised.
- SITUATION DETECTED: Ilya Sutskever's Safe Superintelligence is reportedly planning to launch its highly anticipated first model in August 2026, per Gavin Baker in an interview with Patrick O'Shaughnessy.
- https://x.com/i/status/2084675767053824332
- So this is a subjective market, and therefore one I will not be betting in.
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 23,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 312,6K
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30-12.5pt69%
- September 18-14.5pt62%
- September 11-19.5pt49%
+2 extra uitkomsten
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POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+0.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,9 mln.
- 24u volume
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- July 310%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 73% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August? afgewikkeld?
- Will I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August? wordt naar verwachting op 15 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I be wowed by whatever SSI releases in August? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: According to a rumor on Twitter Ilya's firm SSI is planning to finally release a product in August.