Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 89.4%
Voorspellers
20
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
2 nov 22, 00:52 UTC1 jan 00, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Is there currently a black hole inside the Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill someone fall into a black hole by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100?
Manifold MarketsAction Principle for a Dynamical Black Hole Mimicker Formation
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegels
Resolves YES if humans create a black hole before the close date, otherwise resolves no.
- If it's discovered that human activity in the past has created black holes, such as in LHC collisions, that also counts.