Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 57.4%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 53 minuten geleden
Vertraagd19 aug 26, 14:07 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028?
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PolymarketRegels
This is the strongest and most consequential market in the series.
- It asks whether Gustavo Petro will ultimately receive a prison sentence as a result of a criminal conviction before the beginning of 2028.
- A conviction alone would not be sufficient.
- The court must actually impose a sentence that includes imprisonment.
- Resolution criteria:
- YES: If a competent court sentences Gustavo Petro to a term of imprisonment before January 1, 2028.
