Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028?
US PoliticsOne-OffCrime & Justice1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 50.5%
Voorspellers
5
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 uur geleden
Verouderd19 aug 26, 14:07 UTC31 dec 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Gustavo Petro be sentenced to prison before January 1, 2028?
Manifold MarketsCluely founders convicted of crime before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by which date?
PolymarketWill former Colombian president Gustavo Petro be formally charged with a criminal offense before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
PolymarketTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
PolymarketRegels
This market goes one step further and asks whether any of the investigations or criminal proceedings involving Petro ultimately result in a criminal conviction.
- The market is not limited to allegations contained in Abelardo de la Espriella's “White Paper.” Any criminal case involving Gustavo Petro may qualify.
- Resolution criteria:
- YES: If a competent court issues a criminal conviction against Gustavo Petro before January 1, 2028.
- NO: If no criminal conviction is issued against him by that date.
- Being investigated, charged, indicted, arrested, or standing trial does not qualify.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 693K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,1 mln.
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 54,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 266,9K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Totaal volume
- € 12,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 248,7K
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 51% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Gustavo Petro be convicted of a crime before January 1, 2028? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market goes one step further and asks whether any of the investigations or criminal proceedings involving Petro ultimately result in a criminal conviction.