Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 04:28 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96.7%
Voorspellers
43
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 uur geleden
Verouderd9 okt 24, 02:03 UTC2 jan 27, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
Manifold MarketsWill SBF be physically in prison/jail at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Hunter Biden be physically in prison / jail at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these AI executives will spend a night in jail or prison between 26 Sep 2026 and EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsJerome Powell in jail before 2027?
PolymarketTim Walz in jail by which date?
PolymarketRegels
As reported by major news sources.
- If in doubt or unclear as of question close time, then as confirmed by government sources such as court records and arrest records.
- Question close time may be extended if unclear and records are not yet available.
