Jair Bolsonaro pardoned by March 31, 2027?
6.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingLatijns-AmerikaMisdaad en justitie5mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ja 84%+6.0pt
Ja 84%+6.0ptMarktkwaliteit
62 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 271,6
Liquiditeit
€ 10,8K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
82.0% / 86.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadReacties
0
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 19 minuten geleden
6 okt 26, 16:09 UTC1 apr 27, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Polymarket
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Minimumorder (aandelen):
- 5
- Prijsstap:
- 1 procentpunten
- Kosten:
- Ja
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Manifold MarketsPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
PolymarketRegels
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jair Messias Bolsonaro receives a pardon (indulto or graça), commutation, or reprieve granted by the President of Brazil between market creation and March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying grant of clemency means an act signed by the President of Brazil, or by whoever is lawfully exercising the office, that pardons, commutes, reduces, or suspends the execution of a sentence that had already been imposed on Jair Bolsonaro in a Brazilian criminal proceeding at the time the act was signed, and that has been published in the Diário Oficial da União between market creation and the deadline.
- Both signature and publication must occur within this period.
- A reprieve means a temporary suspension of the execution of an imposed sentence through presidential clemency.
- Full or partial relief from a custodial sentence or criminal fine will qualify; actual release from custody is not required.
