Will Elon Musk come out against one of the following consensus positions before the end of 2026? (Add answers)
GeopolitiekAIWeer2mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingVaccines are safe 25.6%Koploper van 6 uitkomsten
Voorspellers
35
Vraagtype
multiple choice
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
7d wijziging
0.0 pts
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd8 mrt 25, 01:37 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
League of Legends Worlds 2026 Prop Bets [Add answers!]
Manifold MarketsWhich previous twist will come back for Survivor 51? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsF1 2026 Prop Bets Mexican 🇲🇽 (Mexico City) Grand Prix [LIVE, Add answers]
Manifold MarketsWill the bitcoin reach ... in 2026 (after market creation on the 25th of May 2026) [ADD ANSWERS] [CRYPTO => USDOLLARS]
Manifold MarketsIf AI kills everyone, how will it do it?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the next world-wide crisis be?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES for any answer if, before the market close date, Elon Musk makes public statements that clearly contradict the scientific consensus position described in that answer.
- Specifically:
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that climate change is not real, not happening, or not significantly caused by human activity.
- For "the named outcome": The market will resolve YES if Musk explicitly states that vaccines in general are unsafe, harmful, or more dangerous than the diseases they prevent.
- Coming out against mRNA vaccines counts if and only if there's a clear scientific consensus that they are safe.
