Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026?
Crime & JusticeOne-OffSociety & Culture3mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 69.1%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 9 uur geleden
Verouderd21 feb 26, 16:00 UTC1 jan 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Duke University rank first overall in 2027?
ForecastExWhich Finance PhD Candidates will accept an Assistant Professor position at a top 30 Finance Department by 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the number of people employed as software developers in the US decline by more than 15% from 2023 to 2028?
Manifold MarketsAUTOMATION: Less than 100 police officers are employed by the New York Police Department by the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill MrBeast donate to East Carolina University athletics NIL programs this year?
KalshiWill University of California, Berkeley rank first for public universities in 2027?
ForecastExRegels
Resolves YES if, as of 11:59pm EST on Dec 31, 2026, Ariely is still listed by Duke University as a tenured professor (or equivalent continuing faculty position).
- Resolves NO if, before that date:
- Duke announces termination,
- Ariely resigns,
- Ariely retires,
- His tenure is revoked,
Open markten
Crime & Justice
POLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+11.5pt65%
- Yes-11.5pt35%
- Totaal volume
- € 347,6K
- 24u volume
- € 12,4K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 9,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,8K
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-2.0pt21%
- 2026-0.1pt5%
- Totaal volume
- € 498,6K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+1.5pt28%
- October 31-0.5pt12%
- September 30-0.5pt7%
+3 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.5pt42.6%
- 60++1.5pt38.6%
- 20–40+1.4pt10.9%
+2 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-7.5pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Andrew Tate Extradited to UK by which date?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 69% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Dan Ariely be employed as a tenured professor at Duke University at the end of 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves YES if, as of 11:59pm EST on Dec 31, 2026, Ariely is still listed by Duke University as a tenured professor (or equivalent continuing faculty position).