Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 25 okt 2026, 23:51 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 81%
Voorspellers
11
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 uur geleden
Verouderd24 dec 25, 07:08 UTC31 dec 35, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketRegels
https://x.com/RyanFedasiuk/status/2003634067997409613?s=20
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if China launches nine or more aircraft carriers by December 31, 2035. "Launch" is defined as the vessel having its official launch ceremony, not the date of the dry dock flooding or when it is commissioned into service.
- Resolution will be verified through official Chinese state media announcements.
- As of 2025, China has three active aircraft carriers: the Liaoning, Shandong, and Fujian.
- A fourth carrier, the Type 004, has been under construction since 2024 and is expected to feature nuclear propulsion.