Will the US Navy commission more than three Gerald R. Ford-class aircraft carriers?
PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingGeopolitiek19jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 05:51 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 70.2%
Voorspellers
3
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden
Verouderd30 sep 23, 01:10 UTC31 dec 45, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
Commissioning is the formal entry into service of a ship, not the act of ordering its construction.
- Resolves YES if the US commissions a fourth Ford-class carrier.
- Resolves NO if the US formally commits not to construct and commission a fourth Ford-class carrier AND a US presidential election has taken place subsequent to that decision AND the decision is not reversed by the winner of that election (three months after swearing in)
- The NO criteria seem a bit over the top, but apart from applying 'by X year' instead, which I don't want to do, they may be the best choice.
