Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 83.9%
Voorspellers
308
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 minuten geleden
3 apr 23, 18:33 UTC31 dec 39, 18:29 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will at least 2 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill all 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegels
https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems
- 1 was solved - the Poincare conjecture - by Grigori Perelman.
- There are 6 remaining.
- There are 17ish years left before this market closes.
- Apr 4, 1:51am: Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems by solved by 2040? → Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040?
Open markten
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 211K
- 24u volume
- € 110,5K
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202812%
- Before 20275%
+5 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 28,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 21,3K
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 5,2K
KALSHIWhen will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- before October+64.0pt98%
- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Natural Disaster in 2026?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 84% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040? afgewikkeld?
- Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2039 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will at least 4 of the 7 Millennium Problems be solved by 2040? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems