Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 19 okt 2026, 19:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 58.1%
Voorspellers
4
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd18 jan 26, 21:50 UTC31 dec 40, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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PolymarketRegels
Update 2026-01-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market resolves YES if ASI (Artificial Superintelligence) is developed greater than 5 years after AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) is developed.
