10 years before AGI is built, debate about AGI risk will still be less mainstream than global warming was in 2015
One-OffAIWetenschap
Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 83.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Verouderd24 mrt 23, 15:02 UTC1 jan 00, 05:00 UTC
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By at least 10 years before human-level AGI is built, debate about AGI risk will be as mainstream as global warming is in 2015
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One of the questions from https://jacyanthis.com/big-questions.
- Resolves according to my judgement of whether the criteria have been met, taking into account clarifications from @JacyAnthis, who made those predictions.
- (The goal is that they'd feel comfortable betting to their credance in this market, so I want the resolution criteria to match their intention.)
