Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.1%
Voorspellers
12
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 13 uur geleden
Verouderd1 sep 26, 15:50 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Macrogevoelige Assets
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Argentina Monthly Inflation - September
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KalshiSeptember Inflation US - Monthly
PolymarketRegels
This market resolves YES if Argentina's National Statistics and Census Institute (INDEC) reports a monthly variation in the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) of less than 1.0% for any month from August through December 2026.
- The market resolves NO if no such monthly CPI reading is reported during that period.
- The resolution source will be the official CPI data published by INDEC.
- The relevant figure is the monthly percentage change in the National CPI, not year-over-year inflation.
- A reported value of exactly 1.0% does not qualify; the reported monthly inflation rate must be strictly below 1.0%.
Open markten
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 128,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 6,5 mln.
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Totaal volume
- € 8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 95,8K
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 29K
- 24u volume
- € 29K
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 40,3K
- 24u volume
- € 6,1K
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- CPI in September
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 95% per 14 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Argentina's monthly inflation drop below 1% in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This market resolves YES if Argentina's National Statistics and Census Institute (INDEC) reports a monthly variation in the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) of less than 1.0% for any month from August through December 2026.