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This event predicts whether S&P Global Ratings will downgrade Mexico’s long-term sovereign credit rating at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official rating action announcements published by S&P. If S&P formally lowers Mexico’s long-term sovereign rating level during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Outlook changes or credit watch placements without a downgrade of the rating level will not count.
- If official rating announcements are ambiguous, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will rely on consistent reporting from major financial news organizations.
