Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027?
GeopolitiekOne-OffLatin America6mndManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 94.1%
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5
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
26 apr 26, 16:03 UTC31 mrt 27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any time before April 26, 2027, the government of Argentina initiates, declares, or engages in an armed military conflict against the United Kingdom with the explicit objective of taking control of the Falkland Islands (Islas Malvinas).
- An "armed military conflict" implies official military engagement between the armed forces of both nations.
- This market resolves to NO if no such conflict occurs before the specified date.
- The primary sources for resolution will be official announcements from the governments of the United Kingdom and Argentina, as well as reporting from reputable international news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, BBC).
- If the event occurs, the market will resolve based on confirmation from these sources.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 94% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 maart 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Argentina start another war over the Falklands before April 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria