Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027?
Latin AmericaOne-Off1jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 95.7%
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Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
24 jan 24, 18:29 UTC1 jan 28, 04:59 UTC
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Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).
- Given he's outright ruled out the use of force (as he correctly observed that didn't go well last time), he's announced he intends to explore "all diplomatic channels."
- This market resolves YES if the Falklands have returned to Argentine possession by the close date, or if an official agreement has been ratified between Britain and Argentina about transferring sovereignty of the islands to Argentina on some fixed timeline.
- This remains a YES even if there are some caveats to that sovereignty, so long as the international community recognizes the islands as being Argentine territory.
- I reserve the right to adjudicate edge cases of this sort by my own sole opinion.
- It resolves NO if the Falklands remain a British possession at market close, or if some other country has taken them over.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 96% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will Argentina successfully regain sovereignty over the Falklands by the end of 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Milei's new administration has reiterated his desire to regain the Falklands as Argentine possessions (spanish announcement here).