UK announces transfer of Falklands to Argentina in 2026?
1.4% (24u)One-OffPolitiekGeopolitiekLatin America5mnd
PolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansJa 4%+0.0%
Marktkwaliteit
52 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 460,4
Liquiditeit
€ 18,6K
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3.1% / 5.8%
Spread
87.1%
Brede spread7d wijziging
+0.6%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 minuten geleden
27 apr 26, 22:0331 dec 26, 0:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Yes4%
Volumetrend
$5242 jul18d aan data26 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom formally announces the transfer of sovereignty over any area of the Falkland Islands to Argentina by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- An official announcement from the government of the United Kingdom confirming that sovereignty of any part of the Falkland Islands has been or will be legally and officially transferred to Argentina is required.
- Negotiations, announcements or claims solely from Argentina, or other actions which do not definitively announce the transfer of sovereignty over the Falkland Islands will not qualify.
- A consensus of credible reporting that the United Kingdom and Argentina have agreed to a binding agreement or legal instrument resulting in a defined area of the Falkland Islands coming under the formal sovereignty of Argentina will also qualify, even if the effective date of the sovereignty transfer occurs after the market deadline.
- The primary resolution source will be official government statements from the United Kingdom and Argentina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.