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  3. Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

1.0% (24u)YearlyPolitiekGeopolitiek6mnd
PolymarketPolymarketBeschikbaarheid controlerenGeen KYC2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 11%+0.0%
Marktkwaliteit

44 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 56,3

Liquiditeit

€ 15,7K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

10.0% / 11.0%

Spread

10.0%

Brede spread
7d wijziging

-4.0%

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden

5 jan 26, 19:1931 dec 26, 0:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes11%

Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.

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Regels

This market will resolve to "Yes" if U.S. government personnel (including U.S. military, CIA, or any U.S. federal law enforcement agency) directly participate on the ground in an operation that results in the capture of a qualifying head of state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Only individuals who are the active head of state of a UN member state at the time of capture will qualify.
  • Acting/interim heads of state will qualify if they are widely recognized as holding the head-of-state office at that time.
  • For the purposes of this market, “capture” means the head of state is taken into physical custody and detained (including arrest, detention, or seizure) such that they are no longer free to leave at will, even if only temporarily.
  • Voluntary surrender may qualify if it results in immediate detention/custody.