Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 96%
Voorspellers
18
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 uur geleden
Vertraagd26 jun 23, 04:16 UTC1 jan 00, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Alien invasion before GTA6?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it torture any human-level-intelligences within a year?
Manifold MarketsIf ASI is created and doesn't wipe out humanity, will it be able to survive these temperatures within a year?
Manifold MarketsWill nanotechnology wipe out humanity by 2100?
Manifold MarketsIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegels
Will extraterrestrials destroy the human race? Only counts alien species that originate from another planet, not life whose ancestry can be ultimately traced back to Earth.
- Resolves NO if humanity is still around by then.
- Otherwise, the resolution is up to the aliens.